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Summer Movie Box Office Predictions: Blockbusters To Bombs

ageofextinction

Megahits

Godzilla – Few summer films have had marketing as impressive as this monster mash, which is seeing release after two more frivolous summer entertainments (Amazing Spider-Man 2Neighbors). Ads have obscured the monster, but favored the disaster footage, a money-shot heavy approach that likens this picture to, ironically, a film like the ones made by 1998 Godzilla director Roland Emmerich, albeit more serious. That film, by the way, grossed $379 million globally despite being hated by just about everyone. With an inflated overseas market, this thing could be looking at upwards of $200 million domestically, and $600 million global. 

X-Men: Days Of Future Past – Strangely enough, the X-films haven’t broke out like other superhero franchises: the highest grossing effort is the $459 million registered byX-Men: The Last Stand. Because it’s eight full years later, because the overseas market has changed, because this is in 3D, and because this is following the Fast And Furious model of filling the cast with characters from all previous films, there’s reason to believe this film will obliterate that number. Last year’s The Wolverine was extremely well-received internationally, grossing $414 million worldwide, but it was a smaller, lower-budgeted affair. This new film promises armies of mutants, killer robots and time travel, basically the exact opposite elements that made The Wolverine the lowest grossing X-film domestically. X-pect (EL OH EL) grosses close to $275 million domestically, and $600 million worldwide. 

How To Train Your Dragon 2 – The animated sequel bump doesn’t always occur for some films: Kung Fu Panda 2 and Happy Feet Two are two recent examples of animated sequels that lacked the domestic success of the originals. But consider the case of Shrek 2 and Despicable Me 2, and realize that Dreamworks’ Dragonsfranchise has had a presence on television with the Riders Of Berk series, and you’re looking at the first animated kid flick of the summer obliterating the original’s $494 million take, with possibly a $700 million worldwide tally. 

Transformers: Age Of Extinction – Transformers: Dark Of The Moon was weaker domestically than its predecessor, though the strong global numbers took the film over the billion dollar mark. The signs would suggest a slightly shrinking appeal, but no studio dared to challenge this franchise’s dominance over the 4th of July weekend. Not only is it opening a full week before Independence Day, but there’s very little to challenge the picture on that date, giving Age Of Extinction two full weekends to most likely cross $200 million domestic, on its way to a $300 million franchise-standard domestic gross and at least $800 million worldwide. 

Dawn of The Planet Of The Apes – The earlier film was an August surprise, coming out of nowhere to gross $481 million. This one comes two weeks after Transformersdominates the marketplace, and does so with the added strength of 3D, and an arguable upgrade at director in Matt Reeves. This franchise remains beloved by fans – even 2001’s hated reboot earned $362 million worldwide – and as they move closer to territory established by the original films, expect new fans and baby boomers to be intrigued, to the tune of $525 million global. 

New ‘Transformers 4′ Trailer Blows Up Everything That Came Before

Transformers 4: Optimus Prime

Paramount Pictures

“A new era has begun. The day of the Transformers is over.”

It’s not so much a reboot, this Transformers: Age of Extinction. It’s definitely the fourth film in a franchise closely watched by its shepherd Michael Bay. But in the first teaser and now this first full trailer, the minds of marketing at Paramount want fans to know that this time around is different. It’s darker, more serious, less Shia. It’s grown up and picked Pain & Gain star Mark Wahlberg as its very manly lead. It touts the fact that the rules have changed, the era of the Transformers is over. “We don’t need you,” explains newcomer Stanley Tucci to an off-screen robot.

And for a moment — two minutes, to be exact — it’s easy to believe them. Because this time around we get some giant dinosaur robots (Dinobots to their friends). Things may just be different, after all.

Though as wise man have said for many years, the more things change the more they stay the same. Nowhere is that more true than in the fourth Transformers movie’s trailer. You’ve got the eye-candy in Nicola Peltz, the hunky love interest in Jack Reynor, the glossy explody CGI landscapes of Michael Bay’s ever-external id, and you’ve got plenty of silly names. Seriously, Cade Yeager is Wahlberg’s character name? Cade Yeager?! In the immortal words of Andy Torres on Cougar Town, “C’mon!”

All of that said, if you’re into this sort of thing (and I am), it looks like a blast.

Transformers: Age of Extinction is due in theaters June 27, 2014

THE NEW UPCOMING MOVIES 2014

This Year in Movies – 2014 will once again be a year of sequels and remakes. There will be over 20 movie sequels in 2014, including Transformers 4: Age of Extinction, Dawn of the Planet of the Apes, The Expendables 2, Captain America: The Winter Soldier, X-Men Days of Future, Night at the Museum 3, The Hobbit: There and Back Again, The Amazing Spider-Man, 22 Jump Street and 300: Rise of An Empire, among others. Expect remakes of Godzilla, Robocop, Annie and Pinocchio on the big screen too.

Transformers 4: Age of Extinction poster Dawn of the Planet of the Apes poster Endless Love poster Godzilla poster The Legend of Hercules poster